This year has been one of the most unpredictable awards seasons in recent memory. While many awards groups have been rewarding Alejandro González Iñárritu’s The Revenant this year after failing to reward him for Birdman last year, the major awards group that did recognize him last year was the Academy. So the main question boils down to: will they recognize Iñárritu’s work two years in a row? Check my predictions below to find out.
KEY: in addition to who I think will win (WW), I’ve occasionally included two subjective categories of who I think should win (SW), and who I think should have been nominated (SN). If you want to check out the full list of nominations, click here.
BEST PICTURE
WW: The Revenant
SW: Room
SN: Carol; Sicario
BEST ACTOR:
WW: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
SW: Michael Fasbender, Steve Jobs
BEST ACTRESS:
WW: Brie Larson, Room
SW: Brie Larson, Room
SN: Emily Blunt, Sicario; Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
WW: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
SW: Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
SN: Jacob Tremblay, Room; Paul Dano, Love & Mercy; Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation (they really need to expand the categories…)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
WW: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
SW: Rooney Mara, Carol
SN: Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina
BEST DIRECTOR:
WW: Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
SW: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
SN: Todd Haynes, Carol
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
WW: Spotlight, Josh Singer, Tom McCarthy
SW: Spotlight, Josh Singer, Tom McCarthy
SN: Sicario, Taylor Sheridan
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
WW: The Big Short, Charles Randolph, Adam McKay
SW: Brooklyn, Nick Hornby
SN: Steve Jobs, Aaron Sorkin
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
WW: The Revenant, Emmanual Lubezki,
SW: Sicario, Roger Deakins
BEST EDITING:
WW: Mad Max: Fury Road, Margaret Sixel
SW: Mad Max: Fury Road, Margaret Sixel
SN: Room, Nathan Nugent
BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
WW: Carol, Sandy Powel
SW: Carol, Sandy Powel
SN: Brooklyn, Odile Dicks-Mireaux; Far From the Madding Crowd, Janet Patterson
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
WW: Mad Max: Fury Road
SW: Mad Max: Fury Road
SN: Carol; Room
BEST SOUND EDITING: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST SOUND MIXING:
WW: Mad Max: Fury Road
SW: Mad Max: Fury Road
SN: Love & Mercy
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
WW: The Hateful Eight, Ennio Morricone
SW: Carol, Carter Burwell
SN: Steve Jobs, Daniel Pemberton
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: “Til It Happens to You," Lady Gaga and Diane Warren, from The Hunting Ground
BEST DOCUMENTARY: Amy, Asif Kapadia, James Gay-Rees
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
WW: Son of Saul, Hungary
SW: Mustang, France
BEST ANIMATED FILM:
WW: Inside Out, Pete Docter, Jonas Rivera
SW: Inside Out, Pete Docter, Jonas Rivera
BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Sanjay's Super Team
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: Body Team 12
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Ave Maria